Kategorie: Bitcoin

Die Analysten von JP Morgan haben die Preisrallye von Bitcoin in einer aktuellen Notiz hervorgehoben. Laut dem Team sieht der aktuelle Preis von Bitcoin „nicht nachhaltig“ aus, während die Volatilität hoch ist.

• JP Morgan hat festgestellt, dass das aktuelle Preisniveau von Bitcoin „nicht nachhaltig aussieht“.
• Die Analysten der Investmentbank sagten, dass die Preisaktion des Vermögenswertes durch spekulative „Einzelhandelsimpulse“ beeinflusst wurde.
• ETH-Futures können trotz eines langsamen Starts an Fahrt aufnehmen, sagte die Notiz auch.

Ein 50.000-Dollar-Bitcoin könnte laut JP Morgan nicht lange halten.

JP Morgan verweist auf den Einzelhandel

Das aktuelle Preisniveau von Bitcoin „sieht nicht nachhaltig aus“, so ein Team von JP Morgan-Analysten.

In einem Bericht, der am Dienstag veröffentlicht wurde, schlugen Global Market Strategist Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou und sein Team vor, dass spekulative Investoren die jüngste Bitcoin-Preisaktion angeheizt haben.

Bitcoin erreichte gestern ein neues Allzeithoch von $50.000 und hat seitdem $51.525 erreicht.

Die JP Morgan-Analyse wies darauf hin, dass die Marktkapitalisierung des Vermögenswertes in den letzten fünf Monaten um $700 Milliarden gestiegen ist, „trotz relativ geringer institutioneller Ströme.“ Sie verwies speziell auf den digitalen Vermögensriesen Grayscale, und bemerkenswerte Bitcoin-Investitionen von Tesla, Mass Mutual, und Guggenheim.

Allerdings, diese Institutionen Konto für eine aggregierte Fluss von nur $11 Milliarden, der Bericht sagte. Es gibt zwei mögliche Erklärungen für den signifikanten Anstieg der Marktkapitalisierung: ein unelastisches Angebot an Bitcoin, das zu einem Preisaufschlag sowohl für „echtes Geld“ als auch für „spekulative“ Investoren führt, und das Interesse von Privatpersonen, das die institutionellen Zuflüsse in den Schatten stellt.

Die Notiz bezog sich speziell auf den „Einzelhandelsimpuls“ als Schlüsselfaktor hinter dem Bitcoin-Preisanstieg. Es sagte auch, dass die Volatilität abnehmen müsste, um die jüngsten Preisniveaus zu halten.

Das Team bewertete das Risikokapital von Bitcoin

In ihren Ergebnissen bewertete das Team das Risikokapital von Bitcoin und dem GBTC-Angebot von Grayscale im Vergleich zu Gold und dem Gold-Tauschfonds GLD. Laut dem Bericht verbrauchen Bitcoin und GBTC 6,2x mehr Risikokapital als Gold und GLD.

Der Bericht erwähnte auch das zweitgrößte Krypto-Asset, ETH. Das Team untersuchte die kürzliche Einführung von ETH-Futures an der CME, die trotz des großen Hypes einen relativ langsamen Start hatte.

Sie stellten fest, dass das Interesse ähnlich langsam war, als Bitcoin im Dezember 2017 an der Derivatebörse eingeführt wurde. Dem Bericht zufolge sollten ETH-Futures jedoch einen schnelleren Aufschwung erleben, weil der Markt „ein paar Jahre Zeit hatte, um zu reifen“.

 

Bitcoin, la mayor criptodivisa, cayó por debajo de los 38.000 dólares a las 17:23 UTC en la bolsa Bitstamp después de haber cotizado hasta 41.450 dólares hoy.

La criptodivisa ha bajado casi un 5% en las últimas 24 horas.

Los mineros están de humor para vender

Como señaló el CEO de CryptoQuant, Ki Young Ju, el Índice de Posición de los Mineros (MPI) alcanzó recientemente su nivel más alto desde julio de 2019, mes en el que Bitcoin alcanzó un máximo de aproximadamente 13.700 dólares antes crypto cash de ver una enorme corrección.

Lecturas muy altas del IPM sugieren que los mineros están tomando activamente beneficios en lugar de acumular, ejerciendo así presión sobre el mercado.

Bitcoin está extremadamente sobrecomprado

Hoy temprano, el estratega de mercado líder de NorthmanTrader, Sven Henrich, notó que el índice de fuerza relativa (RSI) había llegado a 93, su nivel más alto, en el gráfico semanal de Bitcoin. Esto sugiere que la materia prima volátil está extremadamente sobrecomprada.

Sin embargo, a principios de esta semana, el veterano comerciante Peter Brandt afirmó que los activos suelen seguir siendo sobrecomprados durante los furiosos mercados alcistas, que es exactamente lo que ocurrió durante los últimos ciclos alcistas de Bitcoin.

Bitcoin is over $ 40,000 after starting the new year under $ 30,000 and trading under $ 4,000 less than a year ago. The asset’s trajectory was “only up” – but could the collapse in Google search trends for the very first cryptocurrency be a sign that the bullish uptrend is about to end too?

Bitcoin’s unstoppable bull run – not unstoppable?

The world looks in amazement at the latest Bitcoin rally . Going from under $ 4,000 to over $ 40,000 in just one year is no easy feat and has required an influx of over $ 500 billion worth of capital.

Institutions seem more than happy to pay tens of thousands of dollars per coin. Throughout 2019 and early 2020, analysts used a certain signal to decipher whether a bull market had started or not – Google Trends.

In the last few months, more and more people searched for Bitcoin on Google, but now the trend has apparently started to weaken, the search queries, e.g. for buying Bitcoin cheaply, will be fewer.

Is Google Trends a „poor man’s sentiment indicator,“ as a certified financial analyst and crypto investment manager claims?

Could falling Google interest be a sign of a BTC correction?

Timothy Peterson of Cane Island Global Macro believes that if the trend on Google Trends breaks, the price of Bitcoin will soon follow suit.

The cryptocurrency is in its historically second strongest upward trend and has easily left 2017, which put the asset on the map in the first place.

The latest rally has the potential to dwarf everything 2017 was capable of and has already doubled its previous all-time high from this year. Even if the short-term trend breaks, the long-term trend is still up.

There could also be more to the collapse of Google Trends than Peterson realizes. Using Google as a sentiment barometer will become less and less effective over time.

And why? Because more and more people know exactly what Bitcoin is and what it means – there is less need to look for information about it.

Just because people stop searching for terms like „how to send an email“ doesn’t mean email is suddenly dead. At some point, technology and the search for new information about technology diverge and don’t look back any more.

At that point the technology will be widespread enough to last for the long term. Is this where Bitcoin is now – or are things about to turn around?

Cardano se sienta en un soporte estable antes de un posible ascenso

La tendencia alcista de la ADA parece haber empezado justo cuando múltiples índices sugieren una corrida de toros entrante.

• Cardano (ADA) finalmente se salió de un prolongado período de consolidación que comenzó en noviembre de 2020.
• Ahora, la señal parece estar apuntando a un valor de mercado de 2 dólares.
• Mientras se mantenga el soporte de 0,21 dólares, la perspectiva alcista se mantendrá.

A pesar de que Bitcoin ha robado el protagonismo de la criptografía tras alcanzar un nuevo récord histórico de cerca de 35.000 dólares, Cardano está preparado para competir con él. El símbolo de la ADA de Cardano está desarrollando un patrón alcista masivo en su Cryptosoft gráfico semanal que puede ver su precio subir más de un 900%.
Cardano se sienta en la cima de un soporte estable

Cardano fue capaz de romper la barrera de resistencia de 0,176 dólares tras un mes de estancamiento. El impulso alcista hizo que el precio de la ADA subiera más del 30% para alcanzar un máximo de casi $0.24 esta semana por primera vez desde mayo de 2018.

Cardano (ADA), a través de Coingecko

Mientras que el auge generó mucha atención alrededor de la comunidad de la cripto-moneda, algunos inversionistas aprovecharon la acción del precio al alza para obtener algunos beneficios.

El pico en la presión de venta hizo que la octava mayor criptodivisa se desplomara en más de un 20% a las pocas horas de probar la marca de 0,24 dólares. A pesar de las enormes pérdidas generadas en general, los participantes del mercado parecen haber comprado la caída.

Cardano fue capaz de recuperar 0,21 dólares como soporte, y ahora espera más presión de compra.

El modelo „In/Out of the Money Around Price“ (IOMAP) de IntoTheBlock sugiere que $0.21 juega un papel crucial en la tendencia de Cardano. La historia de las transacciones muestra que esta es la mayor barrera de demanda que podría mantener a raya la caída de los precios. Casi 2.400 direcciones han comprado previamente 34 millones de ADA.

Un área de interés tan significativa podría absorber parte de la presión a la baja si los inversionistas continúan reservando ganancias, evitando que Cardano caiga más. Dicho esto, si este nivel de apoyo se rompe, las cohortes de IOMAP muestran que el siguiente obstáculo significativo que refuerza la tendencia alcista de la ADA se sitúa en torno a los 0,19 dólares.

A pesar de que el escenario es el peor de los casos, el modelo IOMAP revela que Cardano se enfrenta a poca resistencia en el futuro. Si las órdenes de compra comienzan a acumularse, esta cripto-moneda podría pasar fácilmente la pared de 0,22 dólares ya que sólo 1.100 direcciones compraron más de 16 millones de ADA alrededor de este nivel de precios.

Por lo tanto, no se necesitará una enorme cantidad de presión de compra para que los precios suban en el futuro.
Un 900% de Bull Rally en el horizonte

Cuando se mira a Cardano desde una perspectiva macro, es decir, el gráfico de la semana, 0,21 dólares parece ser aún más significativo. Este obstáculo en el precio coincide con el escote de un patrón inverso de cabeza y hombros desarrollado dentro de este marco de tiempo desde noviembre de 2018.

Un cierre semanal de velas por encima del soporte de $0,21 señalará una ruptura de esta formación técnica, lo que podría llevar a una subida del 900% hacia los $2. Este objetivo se determina midiendo la distancia entre la cabeza del patrón y el escote y sumándolo al punto de ruptura.
Gráfico del precio del dólar americano de Cardano

ADA/USD en TradingView

Dada la alta probabilidad de que se produzcan ganancias masivas en el horizonte, los titulares deberían tratar de fortificar sus posiciones en lugar de tratar de aprovechar la volatilidad diaria. Sin embargo, un descenso por debajo de 0,075 dólares invalidará el objetivo del patrón inverso de cabeza y hombros de 2 dólares.

Wiodąca giełda kryptowalut Binance właśnie uruchomiła opcje Vanilla Bitcoin w europejskim stylu.
W ramach wymiany przeprowadzono już testy po zebraniu pomysłów i przemyśleń od opinii publicznej.
Kontrakty będą rozliczane w USDT, a ponieważ mają one charakter europejski, może to nastąpić tylko w z góry ustalonym terminie.

Cena Bitcoin osiągnęła ostatnio nowy ATH na poziomie 28288 USD, co czyni Bitcoin Evolution największym i bardziej popularnym niż kiedykolwiek. Wiodąca giełda kryptowalut , Binance , zareagowała posunięciem, które przyniesie jeszcze większe zainteresowanie handlem Bitcoinami , uruchamiając opcje Vanilla Bitcoin w europejskim stylu, ogłaszając, że należy je uregulować w dniu wygaśnięcia kontraktów.

Binance już przeprowadził testy

Nowe kontrakty Binance są wyceniane i rozliczane w wiodącym stablecoinie Tether (USDT). Dzięki tym kontraktom giełda ma na celu przyciągnięcie inwestorów instytucjonalnych, którzy mogą nie chcieć posiadać Bitcoina, ale z pewnością mogą skorzystać na niedawnym wzroście cen monety.

Binance przeprowadziło już test sieciowy nowego produktu w listopadzie tego roku. Wcześniej giełda spędzała czas na zbieraniu opinii publicznej na temat nowego produktu, na temat takich kwestii, jak handel na marżach i kontrola ryzyka.

Prezes giełdy, Changpeng Zhao, mówił o premierze nowego produktu, zwracając uwagę, że obecnie istnieje duże zapotrzebowanie na tak innowacyjne produkty. Cena Bitcoina potroiła się od października tego roku, a wiele osób może wykorzystać to na swoją korzyść i zarobić. Niestety, wiele z tych osób i instytucji nie jest zainteresowanych posiadaniem monet. Dzięki dostępnym opcjom Bitcoin nie będą musieli.

Jakie są opcje Bitcoin w stylu europejskim?

Same opcje są kontraktami pochodnymi, które są zwykle używane w tradycyjnych finansach. Pozwalają handlowcom na zabezpieczenie się przed dużymi wahaniami cen i zarabianie pieniędzy, nawet jeśli ceny spadają.

Jest to idealne rozwiązanie w dziedzinie kryptowalut, gdzie ceny mają tendencję do dość silnego wzrostu i spadku ze względu na dużą zmienność. Handlowcy mogą wybrać opcję kupna, jeśli chcą kupić aktywa bazowe (w tym przypadku Bitcoin) lub opcje sprzedaży, jeśli chcą mieć prawo do sprzedaży. Opcje dają im prawo, ale nie obowiązek, w zależności od rodzaju umowy.

Teraz opcje w stylu europejskim mogą być wykonywane we z góry określonym terminie. Tymczasem „wanilia” oznacza, że kontrakty są bardzo podstawowe i proste. Opcje w stylu europejskim różnią się od opcji w stylu amerykańskim tym, że opcje amerykańskie mogą być wykonane również przed z góry określoną datą. Binance już oferuje te opcje, a teraz dodał także inne.

In a Twitter thread, Ripple CTO Schwartz confirmed that the community could decide to burn 48 million XRP tokens. This is related to the specific provisions of the protocol.

Not only the Bitcoin course is currently experiencing a soaring

Almost in its slipstream, the Altcoin Ripple (XRP) has also soared to new heights . Now, however, threatens a huge damper on the part of the validators. The chief technology officer of Ripple, David Schwartz, has according to media reportsadmitted that the company could be forced by the validators to burn its 48 billion XRP tokens. Whether the company agrees or not does not matter in the ledger’s log.

Ripple itself currently has half of the total Bitcoin Revolution review offering. In the past, there have been several accusations of price manipulation due to the sale of tokens. However, Ripple has always firmly denied these allegations. In order to avoid such allegations, however, Ripple has recently discontinued this sales practice.

In a Twitter thread , Schwartz confirmed that the community could well vote for Ripple to burn its entire stash of XRP tokens. Should it actually come to that, there is nothing Ripple can do about it. The blockchain lives from its democracy.

Ripple doesn’t have a democratic majority in the community

The XRP Ledger is run by independent participants from a global XRP community, with Ripple itself playing an important role. In it, Independent Validator Nodes come to an agreement on the sequence and validity of XRP transactions. Active validators of the ledger are, for example, universities, stock exchanges and financial institutions. There are currently 36 validators, of which Ripple has six.

XRP ledger changes require an 80 percent approval rate from the ledger’s validators. They will take effect if this threshold is maintained for two weeks. In particular, in June the XRPL validators voted to accept a new amendment entitled „Check Amendment“ without Ripple’s consent. The change introduces the ability for users to write each other checks for a predetermined amount to XRP that can be cashed at a later date.

CEO Brad Garlinghouse recently provided an insight into the compositionhis clientele. Only 5 percent are US citizens. In addition, rumors are circulating that the company is planning to move its headquarters from San Francisco to Japan. With this, Ripple co-founders Chris Larsen and Garlinghouse express their frustration at the lack of regulatory clarity in the United States.

For ABCripto the moment is calm because the future of Bitcoin is promising

Don’t worry about the fall the future of Bitcoin is promising, ABCriptoNOTÍCIAS highlights
Despite the recent drop in the price of Bitcoin the Brazilian Association of Cryptoeconomy (ABCripto) remains optimistic about the future of the main cryptomeda in the market.

Thus, according to ABCripto’s executive director, Safiri Felix, there is a boom for cryptomeda.

„Bitcoin’s long-term upward bias continues. We see a change in the buyers‘ profile about what we had in the past. Now the buyers are big companies, which tend to maintain the position in the long term. About 70% of the bitcoins mined last month, for example, were bought by big companies like PayPal and Square,“ Felix says.

Historic high
According to Felix, Bitcoin recently reached its highest historical value against the US dollar, but unlike the high of 2017, the present moment appears to be more ‚mature‘.

„It is the first time that Bitcoin has reached that value in dollars since December 2017, but the scenarios are different. Now the situation is more favorable for crypto investors than in 2017. At the previous high, the dollar in Brazil was around 3.30 reais, while now the exchange rate is much more volatile, trading above 5 reais,“ says the director.

In addition, according to him, „there is a greater flow of institutional capital in the crypto market, with products like Grayscale, and contributions like those made by Microstrategy, which did not occur in the previous rally.

Another factor is that „in 2020, we see expansionist monetary policies and unprecedented stimulus policies, awakening in the market signs of a possible inflationary spiral,“ says Felix.

About the sharp drop of 20% in bitcoin last Thursday (Nov. 26), he explains that it is due to the settlement of derivatives in brokers.

„The end of the month is the time for these derivatives adjustments, which leads to the current correction scenario of the recent highs.

Even when $525 million in Bitcoin options expire this Friday, the bulls are ready to defend the $15,000 level.

On November 13, a total of $525 million in open interest on Bitcoin options (BTC) will expire. This is similar to what was seen last week, when $470 million of open interest in options also expired. This presents some unusual activity as most of the volume goes through monthly and quarterly options.

Executives offer $1 million bets that the expectations of Bitcoin’s S2F model won’t come true

On November 5th (last Friday), the open interest on put options was 30% higher than on call options. The Deribit exchange has an open interest of USD 431 million for this Friday’s expiration and Bit.com has USD 72 million.

Before jumping to conclusions about whether this figure is bullish or bearish, it’s important to study it further to measure the potential buying and selling pressure near expiration.

Bitcoin: When should we sell?

For example, the holder of an $18,000 call option won’t see much profit in bringing the price of Bitcoin to $16,500 with less than 32 hours to go. The market already considers these options to be worthless. We can say the same thing about a put up to $14,000.

Therefore, by excluding call options above $16,700 and put options below $14,400, traders can get a more realistic view of current market conditions.

Deribit BTC options for the November 13 expiration.

Deribit has 5,915 BTC in call options ranging from USD 14,000 to USD 15,750. Bit.com has 1,050 BTC and OKEx currently has 490 BTC. Therefore, there’s an immediate open interest of $117 million that supports current levels.

The monthly Bitcoin price close indicates that we’re likely to see a „mega rally“ in December

Meanwhile, put options ranging from USD 15,250 to USD 16,500 amount to 2,130 BTC at Deribit, followed by 860 BTC at Bit.com, plus another 100 BTC from OKEx. Thus, immediate pressure from the sales side amounts to USD 48 million of open interest in put options.

The reason behind this difference is that most put options have devalued and are no longer worth anything on the market. This movement excludes the 84% open interest in put options of $298 million.

As the price of Bitcoin rises, institutions are betting on digital assets

Therefore, when only the option prices closer to market levels are analyzed, there is a notable imbalance of USD 69 million that favors the purchase side. As seen last week, there have been some large bearish trades probably related to the US elections.

Closing the Gap: The Effect of GCE Bitcoin Futures on the Price of Bitcoin

Regardless of whether the market is strong enough to overcome the $16,000 resistance, these short-term options currently support $15,500 and higher prices.

OKEx, Bit.com, and Deribit’s weekly contracts expire this November 13 at 8:00 a.m. (UTC).

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Un rimbalzo dell’indice di forza relativa di Bitcoin riecheggia all’inizio del 2017, prima di mesi di azione dei prezzi al rialzo fino ai massimi storici di $ 20.000.

Bitcoin Circuit è all’inizio della sua prossima „corsa rialzista principale“ e il picco dei prezzi non raggiungerà fino alla fine del 2021, ritiene il noto analista Willy Woo.

In una delle tante discussioni recenti su Twitter dell’11 novembre, il creatore della risorsa statistica Woobull ha prodotto nuove prove che i guadagni di prezzo di Bitcoin sono solo all’inizio.

Woo: Bitcoin RSI „solo in fase di riscaldamento“

Caricando un grafico che mostra l’indice di forza relativa (RSI) di Bitcoin, Woo ha notato somiglianze tra il comportamento attuale della metrica e quello dell’inizio del 2017.

“Il cerchio verde indica a che punto siamo in questo macro ciclo. Inizio della corsa rialzista principale (nel caso non fosse già ovvio) „, ha commentato.

“L’indice di forza relativa su catena di BTC si sta solo riscaldando. Le verticali rosse sono le metà, fornendo l’impulso rialzista dello shock dell’offerta „.

RSI esamina il comportamento dei prezzi in un periodo specificato. Il suo calcolo coinvolge il rapporto di chiusura media superiore e inferiore su quel periodo.

Woo stava usando il suo grafico RSI a 365 giorni, e le sue letture seguono la sua posizione durante un precedente aggiornamento di luglio. A quel tempo, Bitcoin stava terminando un periodo di cosiddetta compressione RSI, che accompagnava una serie di minimi e massimi più bassi per il prezzo di BTC.

A luglio, Woo aveva previsto che la corsa al rialzo sarebbe iniziata nel quarto trimestre del 2020 e si sarebbe protratta nel 2021, qualcosa che finora è diventato realtà. Ora, suggerisce che la nuova fase rialzista raggiungerà il massimo solo tra circa un anno.

„La mia scelta è dicembre 2021, devo vendere per pagare le tasse come l’ultima volta“, ha risposto quando gli è stato chiesto un probabile picco.

Il 2021 sarà l’anno dei record di prezzo di BTC

Come riportato da Cointelegraph , Woo è tutt’altro che il solo a sostenere che le prestazioni di Bitcoin nelle ultime settimane siano un’anomalia, che in seguito correggerà al ribasso.

Il CEO di Real Vision Raoul Pal e il co-fondatore di Gemini Exchange Tyler Winklevoss hanno entrambi dichiarato che un nuovo massimo storico per BTC / USD arriverà entro il primo trimestre del prossimo anno.

Rising prices due to bullish developments in the industry could boost Google search. Google trends indicate that new money is entering the Bitcoin market.

Recent stock market volatility could force a larger number of institutions to consider investing in BTC.

Driven by various bullish developments, the Bitcoin price has had an impressive month. During October, the price of the leading crypto-currency rose by more than 25%.

Data from Google Trends suggests that the rising prices are once again attracting the attention of retail investors, apparently from outside the industry. Meanwhile, others claim that the return of volatility has also sparked institutional interest in the market.

Bitcoin becomes increasingly bullish

After starting October at less than $10,900 and now trading above $13,750, the Bitcoin market is currently in a very bullish mood. This month alone, the BTC price has risen by more than 26%.

Such price increases have clearly not gone unnoticed. Google Trends, one of the simplest metrics for assessing the public interest in the industry, suggests that new money could come onto the market.

Still far from the all-time high of interest observed at the peak of the 2017 bull market, October saw an increase in the number of people searching Google for the phrase „How to buy Bitcoin„. Earlier peaks in metrics also coincided with BTC prices.

Searches for „how to buy Bitcoin“ increased in May, August and December 2017, as well as in early July 2019 and during the recovery from the price drop in March 2020. In each example, the price of Bitcoin rose rapidly in a short period of time.

The renewed interest is likely to be linked to a number of bullish developments around Bitcoin. Large investments at company level, an optimistic report by JPMorgan and PayPal’s interest in crypto-currencies may have contributed to this.

Is it institutions and retail investors this time?

The Google Trends data probably illustrates the growing interest of retail investors in Bitcoin. While the average investor is likely to turn to the popular search engine for information about buying BTC, it seems doubtful that institutional buyers, who have tens or hundreds of millions at their disposal, will approach the market in this way.

However, market analyst Travis Kling believes that the volatility of the stock markets may also have aroused the interest of institutional investors. He highlights the growth of the CBOE (VIX) volatility index, which coincides with that of the Bitcoin price.